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Experimental design. (Section 1.3)
1. Sect. 1-3 Experimental Design
Objective: SWBAT learn how to design astatistical Study,
How to collect data by taking a census
using a sampling, using a simulation ,or
perform an experiment.
How to create a sample using random
sampling, simple random sampling,
stratified sampling, cluster sampling ,
systematic sampling, and how to
identify a biased sample.
2. Experimental Design
The goal of every statistical study is to collect data and thenuse the data to make a decision. Any decision you make
using the results of a statistical study is only as good as the
process used to obtain the data. If the process is flawed
then the resulting decision is questionable.
While you may never have to develop a statistical study it is
likely you will have to interpret the results of one. And
before you interpret the results of a study you should
determine whether or not the results are valid. In other
words you should be familiar with how to design a
statistical study.
3. Guidelines
Designing a statistical study1. Identify the variables of interest, the focus, and the
population of the study.
2. Develop a detailed plan for collecting data. If you use a
sample make sure the sample is representative of the
population.
3. Collect the data.
4. Describe the data using descriptive statistics
techniques.
5. Interpret the data and make decisions about the
population using inferential statistics.
6. Identify any possible errors.
4. Data Collection
The following is a brief summary of four methods of data collection.Take a census; a census is a measure of an entire population. A census
provides complete information. It is often costly and difficult to
perform.
Use Sampling; A sampling is a count or measure of part of a
population. Using sampling is often more practical than taking a
census.
Use a Simulation; A simulation is the use of mathematical or physical
model to reproduce the conditions of a situation or process.
Simulations allow you to study situations that are impractical or
dangerous to create in real life, and often saves time and money. For
example auto crashes.
Perform an experiment; An experiment is applied to a part of the
population and responses are observed. A second part of the
population Is used as a control group.
5. Example
Deciding Upon Methods of data collection1. A study of the effect of changing flight
patterns on the number of airplane accidents.
2. A study of the effect of aspirin on preventing
Heart attacks.
3. A study of the weight of all linemen in the
National Football League
4. A study of the U.S. residents’ approval rating
of the president.
6. Solutions
Because it is impractical to create this situation youwould want to use a simulation for #1
In study #2 you want to measure the effect of a
taking aspirins on patients so you would want to
perform an experiment.
In study #3 because the NFL keeps accurate records
of all players you would want to perform a census.
In study #4 it would simply be impossible to ask
every American what they thought of the President
so you would use sampling. To collect these data.
7. Sampling Techniques
A random sample – is one in which everymember of the population has an equal chance
of being selected.
A simple Random sample- is a sample in which
every possible sample of the same size has the
same chance of being selected.
8. Example
• Use the TI-83 to generate a sample of 8students out of 731 to answer some survey
questions.
randint(1,731,8)
Now you set up a sample of 5 students out of
79 to survey.
9. Stratified Sample
Stratified Sample- When it is important to havemembers from each segment of the population,
you should use a stratified sample. Depending
on the focus of the study, members are divided
into two or more different subsets called strata
that share a similar characteristic such as age,
gender, ethnicity or even political preference. A
sample is randomly selected from each of the
strata
10. Example of a Stratified Sample
• To collect a stratified sample from the number ofpeople who live in Dade county
• You might want to divide the sample into
economic sub groups. And then randomly select
members from each subgroup.
Low Income group
Middle income group
High Income group
11. Cluster Sampling
When the population falls into naturally occurring subgroupseach having similar characteristics, a cluster sample may be most
appropriate.
To select a cluster sample divide the population into groups
called clusters and select the members in one or more but not
all of the clusters. Examples of clusters could be different
sections of the same course or different branches of the same
bank. For instance to collect a cluster sample of the people who
live in Dade County divide the households into groups according
to zip codes. Then select members in one or more but not all the
zip codes. And count the number living in each household.
North
West
East
South
12.
EXAMPLEIdentifying Sampling techniques
You are doing a study to determine the opinio9n of students
at your school regarding gun control. Identify the sampling
technique you are using if you select the samples listed.
1. You select a class at random and question each student in
the class.
2. You divide the student population with respect to majors
and randomly question some students in each major.
3. Each sample has an equal chance of being selected and
each student has an equal chance of being selected, so this is
a simple random sample.
13. Try It Yourself 3
You want to determine the opinion of students atyour school regarding gun control. Identify the
sampling technique you are using if you select the
samples listed.
1. You select students who are in your statistics class.
2. You assign each student a number. And after
choosing a starting number, questioning every 25 th
student.
a. Determine how the sample is selected.
b. Identify the corresponding sampling technique.
14. Homework 1-4, 5,7,9-17(odd) ,19,21-22,23 Pgs. 20-21
Technology1-8 all pgs. 22-23